Monday, September 01, 2008

The Yankees Can Have AJ Burnett

Hankenstein opened his fat mouth this week and said that "everyone" is looking at AJ Burnett. Well, that may be the case, but you can have him - and overpay him.

You may recall when I prophesied the downfall of the Zito Empire. (And when I tooted my own horn when I was proven right.) Burnett may not be that bad, but he's way overrated.

Burnett's ERA+ is a pedestrian 95 this season, and just 109 for his career. Since 2001 he has averaged 23 starts per season.

His career WHIP is 1.29 and is 1.39 this season. That's not good. Take a look at some other trends (all in chronological order):

Pitches/PA: 15.1/15.8/16.0/16.1/16.8 - he's laboring more and more each year.
K/BB: 3.03/2.67/2.61 - not a huge decline, but still not good.

Career BAA/OBP/SLG/OPS is 2.36/.318/.367/.682, but is .258/.332/.413/.741 this year.

His K/9 has stayed strong, though, at 9.31. So I'm not sure what to think about Burnett. I'd just let the Yankees overpay for him. His W-L record and the strikeouts are what's so tantalizing about Burnett, and we all know W-L record is overrated.

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