That being said, I want the Sox to catch them and beat them. According to Fox Sports, not only have the Rays played the toughest schedule in baseball to date, it only gets worse the rest of the way. It's pretty remarkable what they've done this year.
Here's what they say about the Sox:
Remaining Opponents' Avg. Win%: 0.532
Home Games Left/Road Games Left: 20/15
Biggest Series: 8/29-8/31 White Sox
Over at Baseball Prospectus, they give the Red Sox just a 27.3 percent chance of winning the AL East, but they give them a 63.2 percent chance of taking the Wild Card. That's why, from Boston's perspective, their most important games don't come against the division-leading Rays. The more realistic goal is taking the Wild Card. They don't play the Twins again this season, but they do tangle with the White Sox at the end of the month. The good news is that the Sox play most of their remaining games at home; the bad news is that their opponents are generally quite tough.
And if you think Bartolo Colon is going to be their savior, you have reason to be optimistic. Except he only threw 23 of 40 pitches for strikes. He's not ready yet.